RESEARCH

PhD Thesıs

Dissertation Title: Analysis of System Drought for Manitoba Hydro Using Stochastic Methods.

Supervisor: Prof. Dr. Peter Rasmussen

Analyzed data, model and parameter uncertainties associated with stochastic models in the probability of the Churchill-Nelson River Basin streamflow drought. The project is funded by Manitoba Hydro and Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council, Canada. During this research:

o        Analyzed the Churchill-Nelson River Basin streamflow data statistically,

o        Identified the uncertainties associated with stochastic models, parameters, and data in the assessment of hydro-power system drought probability,

o        Developed Markov-Switching model-based stochastic modeling framework,

o        Incorporated identified uncertainties into stochastic models using Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, and

o        Compared the developed Markov-Switching model with traditional stochastic streamflow models in hydrology, using several drought statistics.

Research Interest

• Drought Analysis

• Flood Modeling

• Hydrologic Time Series Modeling

• Sustainable Urban Stormwater Management

• Stochastic Modeling in Hydrology

• Bayesian Inference in Hydrology

Completed and Ongoıng Research Projects

RESEARCH PROJECTS

·         Project Coordinator, “Solid Waste Management of Middle East Technical University, Northern Cyprus Campus” (Campus Research Fund: BAP FEN-12-O-4). 2012- Present

·         Researcher, “Investigation of Applicability of Stormwater Management Practices in the Town of Guzelyurt” (Campus Research Fund: BAP FEN-13-YG-5). 2012-Present.

·         Project Coordinator, “Development of a Conceptual Model of Guzelyurt Aquifer using GIS” (Campus Research Fund: BAP FEN-13-D-8). 2013 –Present.

·         Project Coordinator, “Development of a Flood Protection Project for Guzelyurt Region” (Campus Research Fund: BAP FEN-11-D-5). 2011-2013.

·         Project Coordinator, “Trend Analysis of Precipitation and Temperature in North Cyprus” (Campus Research Fund: BAP FEN-11-O-6). 2011-2012.

·         Project Coordinator, “Modeling of Bostanci-Guzelyurt Flood  and Identification of Flood Risk Areas in Guzelyurt Region” (Campus Research Fund: BAP FEN-15). 2010- 2011.

·         Researcher, “Integrating Uncertainty into the Assessment of Hydrologic Drought Frequency” (Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada). 2000-2005.

THESIS SUPERVISED / CO-SUPERVISED

 Supervisor:

·         Title: Annual and Seasonal Trend Patterns of Climate Change in North Cyprus. MSc Thesis. Completed in 2013.

·         Title: Sustainable Solid Waste Management of Middle East Technical University, Northern Cyprus Campus. MSc Thesis. Ongoing.

·         Title: Assessing the Potential for Rain Water Harvesting in Middle East Technical University, Northern Cyprus Campus. MSc Thesis. Ongoing.

·         Title: Drought Analysis of North Cyprus. MSc Thesis. Ongoing.

·         Title: Flood Management in North Cyprus. PhD Thesis. Ongoing.

Co-Supervisor:

·         Title: Development of a Flood Protection Project for Guzelyurt Region. Completed in 2012.

·         Title: Development of a Conceptual Model of Guzelyurt Aquifer using GIS. Ongoing