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ORTA DOĞU TEKNİK ÜNİVERSİTESİ
MIDDLE EAST TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY |
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CEYLAN (TALU) YOZGATLIGIL, Ph. D.
Department of Statistics Middle East Technical University Ankara, 06531 E-mail: ceylan@metu.edu.tr URL: http://www.metu.edu.tr/~ceylan Phone: (312) 210 2963 Fax: (312) 210 2959
EDUCATION
Temple University, Philadelphia, USA Ph.D., Statistics, January 2007 Thesis Title: Temporal Aggregation and Related Problems in Multivariate Time Series Analysis Middle East Technical University, Ankara, TURKEY M.S., Statistics, September 1999 Thesis Title: A Survey of Competing Risk Analysis: A Medical Application Middle East Technical University, Ankara, TURKEY B.S., Statistics, July 1996
Vice Chairperson at Department of Statistics, METU February 2009 – August 2012, 2014-2015 Associate Professor at Department of Statistics, METU 11 April 2016-present Assistant Professor at Department of Statistics, METU 23 July 2010-11 April, 2016 Instructor at Department of Statistics, METU July 2007 – July 2010 Teaching Assistant at Department of Statistics, Temple University 2003 – 2005 Research Assistant at Department of Statistics, METU August 1996 – 2007 · Been instructor of “Statistics for Engineers” in Spring 2000. · Been assistant for lectures: “Mathematical Statistics”, “Applied Time Series Analysis”, “Statistical Quality Control”, “Biostatistics”, “Stochastic Processes” and “Statistical Simulation”, “Statistical Methods”. · Coordinator of teaching assistants in the Department of Statistics of METU in 1999. Student Assistant at Department of Statistics, METU October 1995-June 1996 · Assisted bachelor students with statistics courses given at the department. Internships State Institute of Statistics August 1995 · Worked in publication department. Duties included interpretation of 1995 data of State Institute of Statistics and preparation of annual bulletin. RESEARCH INTERESTS
PUBLICATIONS Papers in refereed
journals v Aziz R., Yucel İ., Yozgatlıgil C. (2020) Nonstationarity
impacts on frequency analysis of yearly and seasonal extreme temperature in
Turkey. Atmospheric Research.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.104875 v Akça E. and Yozgatlıgil C. (2020). Mutual information model selection algorithm for time series, Journal of Applied
Statistics, DOI: 10.1080/02664763.2019.1707516 v Adiguzel, F., Kleijnen, M., Basbug Erkan, B., Yozgatligil, C.
(2019). Identifying Non-adopter Consumer Segments: An Empirical Study on
Earthquake Insurance Adoption in Turkey. Journal
of Consumer Affairs 53(2),
662-685, https://doi.org/10.1111/joca.12217. v Oflaz, Z., Yozgatligil,
C., Selcuk-Kestel A.S. (2019). Aggregate Claim
Estimation using bivariate Hidden Markov Model, ASTIN Bulletin - The Journal of the International Actuarial
Association 49(1), 189-215, doi:10.1017/asb.2018.29. v Yozgatligil C., Turkes, M.
(2018). Extreme value analysis
and forecasting of maximum precipitation amounts in the Western Black Sea
Sub-region of Turkey. International Journal of Climatology
38, 5447-5458. v Evkaya, O.O., Yozgatligil,
C, Selcuk-Kestel, A.S. (2018). Measuring Dependence
between Electricity Consumption and Contributing Indicators via Copulas:
Turkish Case. Gazi University Journal
of Science 31(4), 1284-1396. v Yozgatligil C., Ayhan,
H. O. (2018). Univariate Sample Size
Determination by Alternative Components: Issues on Design Efficiency for
Complex Samples. Statistics in Transition new series, 19 (2), 201–218, DOI
10.21307/stattrans-2018-012. v Aslan
S., Yozgatligil C., Iyigun
C. (2018). Temporal Clustering of Time Series via
Threshold Autoregressive Models: Application to Commodity Prices. Annals of Operations Research,
260, Issue 1–2, 51–77 v Dag O., Yozgatligil C. (2016). GMDH: An R Package for Short Term Forecasting via GMDH - Type Neural Network Algorithms. R Journal, 8 (1), 379-386. v Yozgatligil C.,Yazici C. (2016). Comparison of homogeneity tests for temperature using a simulation study. International Journal of Climatology, 36, 62-81, Doi: 10.1002/joc.4329. v Turkes M., Yozgatligil C., Batmaz I., İyigun C., Kartal Koc E., Fahmi F., Aslan S. (2016). Has the climate been changing in Turkey? Regional climate change signals based on a comparative statistical analysis of two consecutive time periods, 1950-1980 and 1981-2010. Climate Research, 70 (1), 77-93, Doi: 10.3354/cr01410. v Coppens J., Ozen A., Tavsanoglu N., Erdogan S., Levi E E., Yozgatligil C., Jeppesen E., Beklioglu M. (2016) Impact of alternating wet and dry periods on long-term seasonal phosphorus and nitrogen budgets of two shallow Mediterranean lakes. Science of The Total Environment, 563, 456-467, Doi: dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.04.028. v Caliskan D., Piyal B., Akdur R., Ocaktan M. E., Yozgatligil C. (2016). An analysis of the incidence of measles in Turkey since 1960. Turkish Journal of Medical Sciences, 46, 1101-1106., Doi: 10.3906/sag-1503-62. v Kaygusuz E., Cetiner H., Yavuz H., Cesur S.,Yozgatligil C., Ayas S. (2014). Immunohistochemical Expressions of Receptors for Luteinizing Hormone/Human Chorionic Gonadotropic Hormone and for Sex Steroid Hormones in Pregnant Fallopian Tubes. Acta Endocrinologica-Bucharest, 10 (2), 181-194. v İyigun C.,Turkes M.,Yozgatligil C.,Purutcuoglu Gazi V., Kartal Koc E.,Ozturk M. Z., Batmaz İ. (2013). Clustering Current Climate Regions of Turkey by Using a Multivariate Statistical Method. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 114 (1-2), 95-106. v Uraz, A., Sezgin Tocak, S., Yozgatligil, C., Cetiner, S. and Bal, B. (2013). Psychological Well-Being, Health, and Stress Sources in Turkish Dental Students. Journal of Dental Education, 77 (10), 1345-1355. v Iyigun C., Turkes, M., Batmaz, I, Yozgatligil,
C., Purutcuoglu, V., Kartal
Koc, E and Ozturk, M. Z. (2013). Clustering Current Climate Regions
of Turkey by Using a Multivariate Statistical Method, Theoretical and Applied Climatology,
114, 95–106. v Piyal, B., Akdur, R., Ocaktan, E. and Yozgatligil, C. (2013). An Analysis of the Prevalence of Malaria in Turkey over the last 85 years. Pathogens and Global Health, 107 (1), 30-34. v Yozgatligil, C., Aslan, S., Iyigun,
C. and Batmaz. I. (2013) Comparison of Missing
Value Imputation Methods for Turkish Meteorological Time Series Data. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 112, 143–167. v Yozgatligil, C. and Wei, W.W.S. (2009). Representation of Multiplicative Seasonal Vector Autoregressive Moving Average Models, The American Statistician, 63(4), 328-334. v Ula, T. A. and Yozgatligil, C. (2004). Modified Maximum-Likelihood Method for Non-normal Time Series Revisited, Communication in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 33 (2), 397 – 417. v Ortakaya, A.F., Yozgatligil Talu, C. (2013). Multivariate Time Series Modeling Of The Number Of Applicants For Conditional Cash Transfer Program In Turkey, Journal of Social Policies, 7 (30), 101-116. v Kartal, E., Fahmi, M. F., Iyigun, C., Turkes, M., Yozgatligil, C., Purutcuoglu, V., Batmaz, İ., Koksal, G. (2011). Turkiye Iklim Bolgelerinin Hiyerarsik Kumeleme Yontemi ile Belirlenmesi, İstatistik Arastirma Dergisi, 8 (1), 13-25. v Aslan, S., Yozgatligil, C., Iyigun, C., Batmaz, I., Tatli. H. (2011). Meteorolojik Zaman Serilerinde Kayip Veri Tahmin Yontemlerinin Basarimlarinin Korelasyon Boyutu Analiziyle Karsilastirilmasi, İstatistik Arastirma Dergisi. 8 (2), Ozel Sayi, 55-67. Papers in Conference Proceedings v
Evkaya O., Yozgatligil C., Kestel S. (2018). Understanding Drought with Copula Functions: Case Study for Konya
Province. 11. International Statistics Days Conference, Muğla, Türkiye, October 3-7,
2018. v
Oflaz Z., Yozgatligil C, Kestel S.
(2018). Estimation of Claim Amounts using Bivariate Hidden Markov Models. 31.
Conference of Actuaries, Berlin, Germany, June 4-8, 2018. v
Evkaya O., Yozgatligil C., Kestel S. (2017). Finite Mixture of C-vines for Complex
Dependence. 20th Europen Young
Statistician Meeting, Uppsala, Sweden, August 14-18, 2017. https://indico.uu.se/event/317/contribution/26. v
Yazici
C., Batmaz I., Yozgatligil
C. (2015). A bootstrap application on
the standard normal homogeneity test (SNHT) when there is not highly v
Yazici
C., Purutcuoglu Gazi V., Yozgatligil C., Iyigun C., Batmaz I. (2013).
Detection of Unreliable measurements in long-term time series via data
mining techniques: case in Turkish climate data. International IIE Conference. v
Yetere Kursun A., Iyigun, C., Yozgatligil, C. and
I. Batmaz (2012) Seasonal Variation of
Turkey: A Consensus Clustering Approach. The 10th
International FLINS Conference on Uncertainty Modeling in Knowledge
Engineering and Decision Making (FLINS 2012) August 26-29, 2012, Istanbul,
Turkey. v Adiguzel, F, Yozgatligil, C., Basbug Erkan B.B., Ozkan, D., Sandirli, E. (2011), Assessing the Demand Factors for Residential Earthquake Insurance in Turkey: Empirical Evidence. New Developments in Theory and Application of Statistics: An International Conference in Memory of Professor Moti Lal Tiku, May 2-4, 2011, Ankara, Turkey, p.168-175. v Yozgatligil, C., Purutcuoglu, V., Yazici, C., Batmaz, I. (2011). Validity of Homogeneity Tests for Meteorological Time Series Data: A Simulation Study. Proceedings of the 58th World Statistics Congress (ISI2011). CPS006-03: http://www.isi2011.ie/content/access-congress-proceedings.html. v Fahmi, F., Kartal, E., İyigun, C., Yozgatligil, C., Cinar, I., Turkes, M., Batmaz, İ., Iklim Degisikliginin Turkiye Uzerindeki Etkisinin Kumeleme Yontemleri ile İncelenmesi, Uluslararasi Katilimli Cografya Kongresi, 7-10 Eylul 2011, İstanbul, Turkiye. v Aslan, S., Yozgatligil, C., Iyigun, C., Batmaz, I., Turkes, M., Tatli, H., (2010). Comparison of Missing Value Imputation Methods for Turkish Monthly Total Precipitation Data. Paper Presented at the Proceedings of the 9th International Conference of the Computer Data Analysis and Modeling: Complex Stochastic Data and Systems , Minsk, Belarus State University, Vol(2), 137-140. v Uraz A., Tocak Y., Yozgatligil C., Cetiner S. and Bal B. (2009). Perceived Sources of Stress, General Health and Psychological Well-being in Turkish Dental Students. Eur J Dent Educ 13, 125 John Wiley & Sons A.S. v Yozgatligil, C. and Wei, W. W.S. (2006). Temporal Aggregation and Causality Tests in Cointegrated Systems. ASA Proceedings of the Joint Statistical Meetings, 1162-1167. American Statistical Association (Alexandria, VA). v Yozgatligil, C. and Wei, W. W.S. (2005). Effects of Temporal Aggregation on Cointegration Tests. ASA Proceedings of the Joint Statistical Meetings, 970-975. American Statistical Association (Alexandria, VA). v Yozgatligil, C. and Wei, W. W.S. (2004). Representation of Multiplicative Vector Autoregressive Moving Average Processes ASA Proceedings of the Joint Statistical Meetings, 1382-1387. American Statistical Association (Alexandria, VA). v Talu C. and Yildirim F. (1999). A Statistical Evaluation of Competing Risks Data, Proceedings of the 1st Conference of Statistics, 326-329, Belek, Antalya, Turkey. Abstracts in Conference Proceedings v Yildirim Ozgecan, Yozgatligil Ceylan, Senoglu Birdal (2017). Linear
Contrasts for Time Series Data With Non-Normal
Innovations: An Application to a Real Life Data. 10th
International Statistics Congress (ISC2017), December 6-8, 2017, Ankara,
Turkey. v Evkaya Omer Ozan,
Yozgatligil Ceylan, Kestel
Ayse Sevtap (2017). Drought Forecasting with Time Series and
Machine Learning Approaches. 10th International
Statistics Congress (ISC2017), p. 200, December 6-8, 2017, Ankara, Turkey. v Tas Busra, Yozgatligil
C. (2017). Electricity price forecasting using a hybrid
time series model. International
work-conference on Time Series, ITISE 2017, Granada-Spain, September, 18-20
2017, p. 246. v
Akca E., Yozgatligil C. (2017).
Weighted model selection for time series, International
Researchers, Statisticians and Young Statisticians Congress, 24-26 May,
Konya, Turkey, p. 254. v Yildirim O., Yozgatligil C., Senoglu B. (2017). Hypothesis testing in one-way classification AR(1)
model with Student’s t innovations: An application to a real life data, International
Researchers, Statisticians and Young Statisticians Congress, 24-26 May,
Konya, Turkey, p. 272. v Akca E., Yozgatligil C., (2017). A novel model selection algorithm for time series, 3. International Conference on Advances in
Statistics, 28-30 April, Helsinki, Finland. v Yazici C., Yozgatligil
C., Batmaz I. (2017). Application of bootstrap to
likelihood ratio test to detect multiple changepoints
in small time series data. IFORS 2017: 21st Conference of the International Federation of
Operational Research Societies, Quebec City, Canada, July 17-21, 2017,
14. v Evkaya O., Yozgatligil C., Kestel S. (2017). Multivariate Analysis of Drought
Characteristics using Vine Copula Approach. Copulas and Their
Applications to Commemorate the 75th Birthday of Professor Roger B.
Nelsen, July 3 - 5, 2017, Almeria, Spain, p. 47. v Evkaya O., Yozgatligil C., Kestel S. (2017). Mixture of Vine Copulas for Complex and Hidden Dependence, Recent Developments in Dependence Modeling
and Applications in Finance and Insurance, May 22-23 2017, Island of
Aegina, Greece. v
Dag O., Yozgatligil C. (2016). GMDH: An
R Package for Short Term Forecasting Via GMDH-Type Neural Network Algorithms.
1st International Biostatistics Congress,
26-29 October 2016, Antalya, Turkey. v
Yozgatligil
C., Aslan S., Iyigun C. (2016). Dynamic clustering of multiple multivariate
time series: Application to climate data.
The 22nd International
Conference on Computational Statistics, 23-26 August 2016, Oveido, Spain, p. 26-26. v
Akca E.,
Yozgatligil C.,Yazici C. (2016).
Generation of monthly precipitation series and the performance of
homogeneity tests. The 22nd International Conference on
Computational Statistics, 23-26 August 2016, Oveido,
Spain, p. 42-43. v
Yazici
C., Yozgatligil C., Batmaz
I. (2016). Detection performance of
likelihood ratio test for change-points based on bootstrap for AR(1) models. The 22nd International Conference on
Computational Statistics, 23-26 August 2016, Oveido,
Spain, p. 20-20. v
Evkaya
O. O., Yozgatligil C., Kestel
A. S. (2016). Assessment of
Multivariate Drought Index via Vine Copula.
Dependence Modeling in Finance,
Insurance and Environmental Science, 17-19 May 2016, Munich, Gerrmany, p. 34-35. v
Rustam
M., Batmaz I., Yozgatligil
C., Yazici C. (2016). Modeling of Precipitation Amount of Turkey
by Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines.
International Conference on Information Complexity and Statistical
Modeling in High Dimensions with Applications (IC-SMHD-2016). v Evkaya O. O., Yozgatligil
C., Kestel A. S. (2015). Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in
Turkey: Is Copula Framework Possible?. İSTKON9, Antalya, Turkey. v Batmaz I., Yaman
N., Yozgatligil C. (2015). Modelling Daily Occurance
of Precipitation for Certain Regions of Turkey Using Hidden Markov Models v Yazici C., Batmaz
I., Yozgatligil C. (2015). The Precipitation Modeling of Aegean Region
of Turkey with Multivariate Adaptive Regression v
Aslan
S., Yozgatligil C., Iyigun
C. (2015). Temporal Clustering of
Commodities via Threshold Autoregressive Models. 55th Meeting of the
EWGCFM (EWGCFM 2015), Ankara-Turkey. v
Dag
O., Yozgatligil C. (2015). Forecasting Via GMDH Algorithm with Medical
Applications in R. The 8th Conference of Eastern
Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society, Kapadokya, Turkey, p. 54 v
Yozgatligil
C., Batmaz I., Yaman N.
(2015). Turkiye’nin
Bazi Bolgelerine iliskin Yagis Miktarinin Sakli Markov Modeli ile Modellenmesi. YAEM2015,
Ankara, Turkey v
Yazici
C.,Batmaz I.,Yozgatligil C. (2015).
Sicaklik Degiskeni
İcin Turdeslik Analizi Yontemlerinin Karsilastirilmasi.
YAEM2015, Ankara, Turkey v
Yaman
N., Yozgatligil C., Batmaz
İ. (2015). Sakli
Markov Modeli ile Turkiye’nin Bazi Bolgelerine İliskin Yagis Verisinin Var-Yok Modellenmesi. YAEM2015,
Ankara, Turkey v
Murat
T., Iyigun C., Batmaz I.,
Yozgatligil C., Kartal Koc E., Yetere Kursun A.(2015). Turkiye Iklim Bolgelerinin Oniki Klimatolojik Degisken Kullanarak AGNES Konsensus Kumeleme Teknigi ile Belirlenmesi. YAEM2015,
Ankara, Turkey v
Aslan
S., Yozgatligil C., İyigun
C., Batmaz İ. (2015). Esik-Degerli Dogrusal Olmayan Zaman Serisi Modeliyle Farkli Rejimlerin Belirlenmesi: Turkiye Yagis Verileri Uzerine Bir Uygulama. YAEM2015,
Ankara, Turkey. v
Batmaz
I., Sivrikaya N., Yazici
C., Yozgatligil C. (2014). Precipitation Prediction by Hidden Markov
Models. 20th Conference of the International Federation of Operational
Research Societies, 13-18 July 2014 in the city of Barcelona, Spai.n v
Aslan
S., Iyigun C., Yozgatligil
C., Batmaz I. (2013). Precipitation Forecasting: Assessment via
Nonlinear Autoregressive Neural Network and Vector Autoregressive
Models. International IIE Conference,
252-252. v
Aksoy
B., Purutcuoglu Gazi V., Batmaz I., Yozgatligil C.
(2013). Modelling the Extreme
Precipitation Data: Case Study from Turkey.
26th European Conference on Operational
Research, July 1-4 2013, Rome,
Italy. v
Akal, T., Fahmi, F.,
Kartal Koc, E., Purutcuoglu Gazi, V., Iyigun, C., Yozgatligil, C. and
Batmaz, I. (2012). Detection of seasonal changes in climate data by comparative analysis;
A case study for Turkey, 25th
European Conference on Operations Research, Vilnius, Lithuania. 8-11 July, 2012. v
Aykan, F., Kartal Koc, E., Yozgatligil, C., Iyigun, C., Purutcuoglu Gazi, V., Batmaz, I. (2012). Developing precipitation models for continental central Anatolia,
Turkey, 25th European Conference
on Operations Research, Vilnius, Lithuania. 8-11 July,
2012. v Akal, T., Purutcuoglu Gazi, V., Batmaz, I, Kartal Koc, E., Iyigun, C. Yozgatligil, C. (2012). Investigating the Seasonal Patterns of Continental Central Anatolia by Clustering, The 25th Conference of European Chapter on Combinatorial Optimization, Antalya, Turkey, April 26 – 28, 2012. v Altaban, A., Koksal, G. and Yozgatligil, C. (2012). Modeling Customer Loyalty for Durable Products: The case of a HVAC product, Yoneylem Arastirmasi ve Endustri Muhendisligi 32. Ulusal Kongresi (YAEM 2012), 20-22 Haziran 2012, Dogus Universitesi, Istanbul. v Asar, O., Yozgatligil, C., Kartal, E., and Batmaz, I. (2011). Analysis of Extreme Precipitation Events in Turkey. 7. Uluslararasi Istatistik Kongresi (ISKON). Antalya, Turkiye, 28 Nisan-1 Mayis, 2011. v
Yazici, C., Purutcuoglu, V., Yozgatligil,
C., Batmaz, I., and Bayramoglu,
K. (2011). Homogeneity Analysis for
Dependent Climate Data, 7. Uluslararasi Istatistik Kongresi (ISKON). Antalya, Turkiye,
28 Nisan-1 Mayis, 2011. v
Yozgatligil, C.,
Aslan, S., Iyigun, C. , Batmaz, I. , Turkes, M. ve Tatli, H., (2010).
Zaman Serilerinde Kayip Veri Tamamlama Yontemlerinin Karsilastirilmasi:
Turkiye Iklim Verileri Uzerine Bir Uygulama, Yoneylem Arastirmasi ve Endustri Muhendisligi
30. Ulusal Kongresi,
30 Haziran – 2 Temmuz
2010, Sabanci Universitesi,
Istanbul, Turkiye, p. 127- 128. v Aslan, S., Yozgatligil,
C., İyigun, C., Batmaz,
I. Tatli, H. (2010). Meteorolojik
Zaman Serilerinde Kayip Veri Tahmin Yontemlerinin
Basarimlarinin Korelasyon Boyutu Analiziyle Karsilastirilmasi, 7. Istatistik Gunleri Sempozyumu, 28 – 30
Haziran 2010, ODTU, Ankara, Turkiye. v Kartal, E., Fahmi, M.
F., Iyigun, C., Turkes,
M., Yozgatligil, C., Purutcuoglu,
V., Batmaz, I., Koksal, G.
(2010).
Turkiye Iklim Bolgelerinin Hiyerarsik Kumeleme Yontemi ile Belirlenmesi, 7. Istatistik Gunleri Sempozyumu, 28 – 30 Haziran
2010, ODTU, Ankara, Turkiye. v Asar, O., Kartal, E., Aslan, S., Ozturk, M. Z., Yozgatligil,
C., Cinar, I., Batmaz, I., Koksal, G., Turkes, M., Tatli, H. (2010). 1950-2006 Yillari
Arasrndaki Turkiye Yagis Verilerinin Tanimlayici Veri Madenciligi Yontemleri ile Analizi, 7. Istatistik Gunleri Sempozyumu, 28 – 30 Haziran
2010, ODTU, Ankara, Turkiye. Presentations v Tas B., Yozgatligil C. (2017). Electricity price forecasting using a hybrid time series model. Poster presented at International work-conference on Time Series, Granada, Spain . v Cinar, İ., Yozgatligil, C. and Batmaz, I. (2011). The Effect of Urban Land Cover Change around the Observation Sites on Temperature, International Symposium on Environmental Protection and Planning: Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and Remote Sensing (RS) Applications (ISEPP), 28-29 June 2011, Gediz University, Izmir, Turkey. v Fahmi, F., Kartal, E., Iyigun, C., Yozgatligil, C., Cinar, I., Aslan, S., Zeynel, M., Turkes, M., Batmaz, I. (2011). İklim Degisikliginin Turkiye Uzerindeki Etkisinin Kumeleme Yontemleri ile İncelenmesi. Uluslararasi Katilimli Cografya Konferansi. İstanbul, Turkiye. 7-10 September, 2011. v Fahmi, M. F., Kartal, E., Iyigun, C., Turkes, M., Yozgatligil,
C., Purutcuoglu, V., Batmaz, I., Koksal, G. (2010). Determining the Climate Zones of Turkiye
by Center-Based Clustering Methods- 3rd Conference
on Nonlinear Science and Complexity, 28 - 31 July, 2010, Cankaya Universitesi, Ankara, Turkiye.
v Uraz A., Tocak Y., Yozgatligil C., Cetiner S., Bal B. (2008). Perceived Sources of Stress, General Health and Psychological Well-being in Turkish Dental Students. Association for Dental Education in Europe 34th Annual Meeting 3-6 September Zagrep Croatia, 2008. v
Yozgatligil C., (2007). SAS Applications on VARMA Modelling and Cointegration
Analysis, METU, New Advances in
Statistics Graduate Summer School, August 20, 2007. v
Cetiner M., Sucak, G., Aydin F., Birtas E.,
Yozgatligil C., Kalaca
S., Aki Z., Kalayoglu-Besisik S., Ferhanoglu B., Gulbas Z. Uzay A. Kaygusuz I., Firatli-Tuglular T., and Bayik
M. (2007). Hematopoyetik Kok
Hucre Nakli Yapilan Hastalarda Yasam Kalitesinin Degerlendirilmesi, THD 33.Ulusal Hematoloji Kongresi, Ankara, 16- 19 Ekim
2007. Chapters
in Books v Fahmi, F., Kartal, E., Iyigun, C., Turkes, M., Yozgatligil, C., Purutcuoglu, V., Batmaz, I., G. Koksal (2011). Determining the Climate Zones of Turkey by Center-Based Clustering Methods. . In Nonlinear Dynamics of Complex Systems: Applications in Physical, Biological and Financial Systems. J.A. Tenreiro Machado, Baleanu, D. and A. Luo (Eds.). 171-178. New York: Springer. v Yozgatligil, C. (2007). SAS Applications on VARMA Modelling and Cointegration
Analysis in Recent Advances in Statistics, Turkish Statistical Institute
Press, Chapter 10, 129-140. ISBN: 978-975-01606-0-8. Invited Talks v
Yozgatligil C.
(2019). Genel Uyum Öngörü Yöntemlerinin Türkiye Tüketici Fiyat Endeksi Serisinde Performans Karşılaştırması, Gazi Üniversitesi Eğitimde Ölçme ve Değerlendirme
Anabilim Dalı Seminerleri. v
Yozgatligil
C., Batmaz I., Yazici C.
(2015). Veri
Madenciligi ve Meteoroloji, Finans ve Enerji Anlanlarinda
Uygulamalari.
Veri Madenciligi ve Meteoroloji, Finans ve Enerji
Anlanlarinda Uygulamalari,
Giresun University. v
December
10th, 2009, Middle East Technical University, Representation of Multiplicative Seasonal
Vector Autoregressive Moving Average Models. v
October
19, 2006, Middle East Technical University, Effect of Temporal Aggregation on Error Correction Representation and
Cointegration Trace Test. v Given seminars on competing risks based on the published papers (Cox regression, estimation problem when competing risks are dependent) in the department in 1997 and 1998. Working group seminars v
May 7,
2007 Middle East Technical University, Time Series Analysis (seminar
presented to undergraduate students). ORGANIZATIONS v Organizing committee, 7. İstatistik Günleri Sempozyumu (2010), Department of Statistics, Middle East Technical University, Ankara, Turkey. v Organizing committee, Graduate Summer School on New Advances in Statistics (2007), Department of Statistics, Middle East Technical University, Ankara, Turkey (Fall 2006 - Spring 2007) v Organizer, Faculty Seminars, Department of Statistics, Middle East Technical University, Ankara, Turkey (Fall 2006 - Spring 2007) v Organizing committee, International Conference on Applied Statistics in Medical Sciences (1997), Department of Statistics, Middle East Technical University, Ankara, Turkey (1996-1997) v Organizing committee, 51st session of “International Statistical Institute”, August 1997, Istanbul, Turkey. CERTIFICATES v Introduction to SQL and Database Management (2019), 3 hours course participation. Desi Patent and Trademark An International Summer Course in Biostatistics, Çukurova University and University of Pittsburgh, Department of Biostatistics, May 15-19 2000, Adana, Turkey – has completed the course on I. Design and Analysis of Clinical Trials II. Statistical Methods in Environmental and Occupational Epidemiology III. Practical Applications Using Major Statistical Packages. AWARDS AND HONORS v 33rd National Hematology Congress THD Clinical Hematoloji Paper Award in 2007. v Full Time Scholarship for Doctorate from Turkish Higher Education Council and Middle East Technical University, 2001-2006 v In graduation ranked third in a class of 100 in the Department of Statistics at METU. v Listed in 1992, 1993, 1994 (Fall & Spring semesters) President’s Honours Roll and 1995 (Fall & Spring semesters) President’s High Honours Roll, Department of Statistics, Middle East Technical University (METU). TEACHING Courses at Temple University: • Basic Quantitative Foundations for Business and Economics II in Spring 2003 and Summer I 2005 • Selected Statistical Topics in Summer II 2003, Spring 2004, Summer I and II 2004 • Statistics for Engineers in Fall 2003 and Fall 2004 • Statistical Methods and Concepts in Spring 2005 Courses at METU: STAT 511: Time Series Analysis I STAT 512: Time Series Analysis II STAT 518: Statistical Design of Experiments STAT 201: Introduction to Probability and Statistics I STAT 221: Fundamentals of Statistics STAT 271: Mathematical Statistics I STAT 272: Mathematical Statistics II IAM 530 : Elements of Probability and Statistics STAT 497: Applied Time Series Analysis STAT 153: Probability I STAT 154: Probability I STAT 356&STAT 412: Statistical Data Analysis STAT 450: Nonparametric Statistics Courses developed STAT 444
Advanced Statistical Computing STAT 562
Univariate Time Series Analysis STAT 563
Multivariate Time Series Analysis STAT 559 Applied Multivariate Analysis (with Dr. Vilda Purutcuoğlu) STAT 111 Statistics by Real Life Examples STAT 250 Applied Statistics STAT 412 Statistical Data Analysis (course content is changed and machine learning algorithms added) PROFESSIONAL ACTIVITIES:
Institute of Applied Mathematics, METU Advisor
of the following students: Ortakaya Ahmet Fatih,
(2009). Multivariate time series modeling of the number of applicants and
beneficiary households for conditional cash transfer program in Turkey Tüker Utku Göksel, (2010). The application of disaggregation methods
to the unemployment rate of Turkey Sarıaslan Nazlı,
(2010). The effect of temporal aggregation on univariate time series analysis Aslan Sipan, (2010). Comparison of missing
value imputation methods for meteorological time series data Kiribaki Wilberforce, (2012). Analysis of gas
prices for Turkey from 2003-2011 Çakmak Mehmet, (2014). Statistical analysis
of electricity energy consumption with respect to provinces in Turkey
(Co-advisor: Assoc. Prof.Dr. Ozlem
Ilk Dag) Dağ Osman, (2015). Gmdh-type
neural network algorithms for short term forecasting Zakeri Seyed Amir
Hamed, (2015). Time series analysis and forecasting
electricity prices in Turkey (Co-advisor: Assoc. Prof. Dr. Ömür Uğur) Yaman Nevin,
(2015). Modelling precipitation data of certain regions for Turkey via hidden
Markov models (Advisor: Prof. Dr. İnci Batmaz) Boğazlıyan Metin,
(2015). Time series analysis of Turkish exports of selected ores and
concentrates Oflaz Zarina,
(2016). Bivarıate hidden Markov model to capture the dependency in claim
estimate (Co-advisor: Assoc. Prof. Dr. A. Sevtap Kestel) Akpiliç Ferdi,
(2016). THE relatıonshıp between unemployment rate and growth: tıme serıes
approach for Turkey Akca Elif, (2017). A Novel Algorithm for Time Series Model Selection: Mutual Information Model Selection Algorithm (MIMSA) Yildirim Ozgecan,
(2017). One-Way ANOVA for Time Series Data with Non-Normal
Innovations: An Application to Unemployment Rate Data (Co-advisor: Prof. Dr. Birdal Senoglu) Yazici Ceyda,
(2017) A Computational Approach to Detect Inhomogeneities in Time Series Data (Co-advisor: Prof. Dr. İnci Batmaz) Ph.D. degree Tas, Busra
(2018) Electricity Price Forecasting Using
Hybrid Time Series Models Evkaya, O. Ozan
(2018) Mixture of Vines for Dependence
Modeling: Finite Mixture and CD-Vine Approaches With Applications (Co-advisor: Prof. Dr. A Sevtap Selcuk-Kestel) Ph.D.
degree Aydemir Petek
(2018) Performance of Ensemble Forecasting Tools for Analysis Turkish Consumer
Price Index PROJECT EXPERIENCE v Project title: Zaman Serileri icin Model Secme ve Tahmin Etme Kriterinin Olusturulmasi: Yeni Bir Algoritma PI: Assoc. Prof. Dr. Ceylan Yozgatligil Supported by: BAP, METU Role & time spent: Principal Investigator, 1.1.2017 -31.12.2017 Project Budget:4,000TL
PI: Assoc. Prof. Dr. Ceylan Yozgatligil
Supported by: BAP, METU Role & time
spent: Principal Investigator, 1.1.2017
-31.12.2017 Project Budget:9,000TL v
Project title: Zamana Bağlı Değişen Emtia Fiyat İndeksi/İndeksleri Oluşturulması PI: Assoc. Prof. Dr. Ceylan Yozgatlıgil
Supported by: BAP, METU Role & time
spent: Investigator, 1.1.2016 -31.12.2016 Project Budget:4,000TL v
Project title: Tarımsal Ürün ve Aktüeryal Karşılıklarının Vine Copulalar aracılığı ile Modellemesi PI: Assoc. Prof. Dr. A. Sevtap Kestel Supported by: BAP, METU Role & time
spent: Investigator, 1.1.2016
-31.12.2016 Project Budget:5,375TL v
Project title: Meteorolojik Verilerin Hesaplamalı İstatistiksel Yöntemlerle Türdeşlik Analizi PI: Prof. Dr. İnci Batmaz Supported by: BAP, METU Role & time
spent: Investigator, 1.1.2015
-31.12.2015 Project Budget:6,500TL v
Project title: Saklı Markov Modeli
ile Yağış Modellerinin Oluşturulması: Türkiye Üzerine Bir Çalışma PI: Prof. Dr. İnci Batmaz Supported by: BAP, METU Role & time
spent: Investigator, 1.1.2014
-31.12.2015 Project Budget:9,000TL v
Project title: Dayanıklı Tüketim Malları İçin Müşteri Bağlılığının Modellenmesi PI: Prof. Dr. Gülser KÖKSAL
(METU, Dept. of Industrial Engineering) Role & time
spent: Co-investigator, 1.1.2012
-31.12.2012 Project Budget:3,000TL v Project title: Türkiye’de Bireylerin Doğal Afet Sigortası ve Genel Sigorta Talebi ve Satın Alma Eğilimini Etkileyen Faktörler PI: Dr. B. Burçak Başbuğ Erkan (METU, Dept. of Statistics) Supported
by: BAP, METU Role & time spent: Co-investigator, 2010 -2011 Project No.: BAP-08-11-2010-R-03 Project Budget: 15,000TL v Project title: Veri Madenciliği Yöntemleri ile Türkiye İklim Bölgelerinin Yeniden Belirlenmesi ve Yağış Tahmin Modellerinin Geliştirilmesi PI: Assoc. Doç. Dr. İnci Batmaz (METU, Dept. of Statistics) Role & time
spent: Co-investigator, 2008
-2011 Project Budget:22,000TL v Project title: Zamansal Toplulaşma Uygulanacak Serilerde Optimum Toplulaştırma Periodunun Bulunması PI: Dr. Ceylan Yozgatlıgil Supported by: BAP, METU Project No: BAP-01-09-2009-101 Project Budget:10,000TL v Project title: Türkiye’de Bireylerin Doğal Afet Sigortası ve Genel Sigorta Talebi ve Satın Alma Eğilimini Etkileyen Faktörler PI: Dr. B. Burçak Başbuğ Erkan (METU, Dept. of Statistics) Supported
by: BAP, METU Role & time spent: Co-investigator, 1.1.2010 -1.7.2011 Project No.: BAP-08-11-2010-R-03 Project Budget: 15,000TL v For Turkish Radio Television about the TV preferences of people living in South and South-East Anatolia, 1998. v For South-East Turkey Project about the living standards of people living in that region, 1998. v For Janssen-Cilag about foot health (ACHILLES project), 1999.
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